Match Preview: Mainz – Union Berlin Predictions and Betting Tips 07.02.2024

Mainz – Union Berlin Predictions

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Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin

Date: 07.02.2024 | Match at: 18:30 | League: GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA – ROUND 18 | Tip: Over 1.5 Goals | Odds: 1.38 | Bookie: Unibet.


Mainz – Union Berlin Predictions and Preview

  • Originally scheduled for round 18 and postponed due to severe icy conditions, Mainz will hope that they can warm up to the task this time around and end what is incredibly their second nine-game winless run of league games this season (W1, D8, L10). It’s no surprise that this woeful record leaves the club in deep danger of relegation, and they’ll fall nine points clear of the final position of safety should they lose here against fellow relegation-threatened side Union Berlin.
  • Whilst Mainz’s sole win did come at home, their paltry five-point haul here represents the worst home return in the division (W1, D2, L6) and includes three 1-0 defeats across their last four league outings here. They’ll be lucky to keep the margins similarly small here, as Union blew them away 4-1 in the round one reverse to extend Mainz’s wait for a Bundesliga H2H victory to five games (D1, L4).
  • Despite their H2H dominance, Union have largely struggled since that opening day clash. Granted, the Iron Ones have looked an improved force under manager Nenad Bjelica, picking up ten of their 17 point haul since his arrival, but they are yet to win away from home under his tutelage and have suffered defeats ‘to nil’ either side of a narrow 1-0 success over rock-bottom Darmstadt.
  • Casting further doubt over a Union H2H double here is the fact that since scoring in a 1-1 draw away to Braga in Bjelica’s first game in charge, they haven’t managed to ripple the net in any of their four competitive trips since (D1, L3). Even so, four of their five league wins at any venue this season came against sides currently in the bottom-three, which is certainly a positive omen ahead of this relegation ‘six pointer’.
  • Players to watch: Both of Ludovic Ajorque’s goals for Mainz this season were match openers, but he’ll have a psychological wall to climb here after becoming the first player in Bundesliga history to miss two penalties in one game in the reverse. Benedict Hollerbach could be the outlet for Union after he scored two of their only three goals across the last six Bundesliga rounds, each opening the scoring in victories.
  • Hot stat: Union Berlin have failed to score in a league-high 11 Bundesliga games this season (58%).

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