Ajax – Willem II Predictions
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Ajax 3-1 Willem II
Date: 28.01.2021 | Match at: 21:00 | League: NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie – Round 19 | Tip: Over 3.5 Goals | Odds: 1.59 | Bookie: Unibet
- In beating Sittard 2-1 (Jan 24), table-topping Ajax recorded three consecutive league wins with a precise 1-0 HT lead for the first time since April/May 2012. In turn, they emerged victorious from a HT lead for a 13th time across 14 league wins recorded so far – as they have also done in nine of their last ten home league wins vs Willem II.
- The hosts are clear favourites, and Ajax are usually merciless when victorious in Amsterdam. The champions’ average margin of victory across their last 20 clean-sheet home league wins is 3.90. Remarkably, their last ten H2H home league wins vs Willem have produced the exact same average winning margin! (FT: 3.90, HT: 2.20).
- A new era of uncertainty dawns for Willem, who ended the weekend in 17th place after a seventh Eredivisie defeat in nine, and play their first game since the sacking of Adrie Koster on Tuesday. They have lost from leading positions in three of their last four league defeats, conceding exactly twice beyond the hour mark in each of that losing quartet.
- The visitors have won on two of their last four Eredivisie trips to this venue, with both wins yielding a HT/FT double. However, their H2H away league record is otherwise dismal (W2, D4, L38), especially with 13 of Willem’s last 14 away league defeats vs Ajax seeing them fail to breach the hosts’ defence before HT.
- Players to watch: Sébastien Haller scored the winner beyond the hour mark for Ajax vs Sittard, and across all competitions, three of his four right-footed goals this term have proven decisive. Last season’s corresponding fixture saw Mike Trésor Ndayishimiye open the scoring from the spot, and each of his previous three penalty goals have come during away matches separating the teams by exactly two goals (W1, L2).
- Hot stat: Willem have trailed to-nil at the interval in 26 of their 38 Eredivisie H2H away defeats.
|Head-to-head matches: AJAX – WILLEM II|
|23.12.20||ERE||Willem II||Ajax||1 : 1|
|06.12.19||ERE||Ajax||Willem II||0 : 2|
|05.05.19||KNV||Willem II||Ajax||0 : 4|
|06.04.19||ERE||Willem II||Ajax||1 : 4|
|03.11.18||ERE||Ajax||Willem II||2 : 0|