Arsenal – Brighton Predictions
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Arsenal 2-0 Brighton
Date: 23.05.2021 | Match at: 16:00 | League: ENGLAND: Premier League – Round 38 | Tip: Under 3.5 Goals | Odds: 1.47 | Bookie: Unibet
Arsenal – Brighton Match Preview
- Stitching together their longest winning league run (W4) since early 2018/19, Arsenal can yet claim the dubious honour of a Europa Conference League place in what has been another disappointing Premier League (PL) season for them. Their record in end of season finales suggests they will extend their streak to five, with 2005 the last time they suffered defeat in the final round (W13, D2 since).
- With just 25 of 58 points coming at the Emirates this season, it’s obvious where the ‘Gunners’ have fallen down. Indeed their nine competitive losses here in 2020/21 is their worst home record since 1929/30, and their most home league defeats (7) since 1992/93. Letting opponents score first hasn’t helped at home (10x), but netting first should ensure an Arsenal win (W6, D0, L0 when doing so).
- A superb come-from-behind 3-2 win against champions Manchester City in midweek – their first victory this season after conceding first – means Brighton have the chance to claim their highest-ever PL placing (14th) with a win here. With 28 of their 41 points this season coming in 2021, confidence should be high.
- The ‘Seagulls’ do, however, head into this game amid their worst away points return over a four-game period (D1, L3) this season, despite securing a HT lead ‘to nil’ in two of those. Relatively strong first halves on the road have actually seen them open the scoring in nine of their 16 PL games to see goals, although a paltry eight away second-half strikes have ultimately cost them.
- Players to watch: Rather strangely, Nicolas Pépé’s (ASNL) last eight goalscoring club games that ended in defeat (dating back to 2016/17) all ended 1-2. Including last game, Brighton’s Leandro Trossard has struck first for his club side(s) in ten of his last 11 goalscoring games.
- Hot stat: Boosted in the knowledge that this will be the first season in PL history that more away wins (41%) have been registered than home wins (37%), Brighton go in search of just their second-ever win at Arsenal.