Prediction: Varazdin vs Hajduk Split (Odds: 2.10) – Can the Visitors Start HNL Season With a Win?

Varazdin vs Hajduk Split Prediction – Croatia HNL Round 1 (August 2, 2026) ⚽

Match Preview

Varazdin host Hajduk Split at Gradski stadion Varazdin in the opening round of the new Croatian HNL season. The match brings together a disciplined home side and one of Croatia’s biggest clubs, with Hajduk arriving under pressure to make a strong start.

Varazdin have developed into a difficult opponent, especially on their own pitch, where compact defending and quick attacking transitions often create problems for stronger teams. Their main objective will be to frustrate Hajduk and take advantage of counter-attacking opportunities.

Hajduk Split enter the campaign with higher expectations. The club traditionally fights near the top of Croatian football and will look to dominate possession, create chances through the wings and secure an early victory in the title race.

Head-to-Head Record

Previous Meetings

• Matches played: 10
• Varazdin wins: 1
• Hajduk Split wins: 7
• Draws: 2

Hajduk have controlled this matchup historically, but Varazdin have often managed to keep games competitive, particularly when playing at home.

Predicted Lineups

Varazdin (4-2-3-1)

Zelenika; Lusavec, Pellumbi, Boras, Mamic; Postonjski, Banovec; Domjanic, Teklic, Sego; Mitrovic.

Hajduk Split (4-3-3)

Lucic; Sigur, Uremovic, Prpic, Diallo; Krovinovic, Zaper, Pukstas; Sahiti, Livaja, Durdov.

Varazdin are expected to defend with two compact midfield lines and search for opportunities on quick breaks. Hajduk will likely control possession and rely heavily on creative players in advanced positions.

xG Analysis 📊

Varazdin

• Expected Goals (xG): 0.95
• Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.45

Hajduk Split

• Expected Goals (xG): 1.70
• Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.85

The statistics suggest Hajduk should create the better chances, but the opening-round atmosphere could make the game tighter than expected.

Key Tactical Battle

The biggest challenge for Varazdin will be stopping Hajduk’s attacking combinations around the penalty area. If they allow Livaja and the wide attackers too much space, the visitors can quickly take control.

For Hajduk, patience will be important. Varazdin are unlikely to open the game early, meaning set pieces and individual quality could decide the result.

Prediction & Betting Tip 🔥

Hajduk Split have the stronger squad and a clear historical advantage in this fixture. However, Varazdin’s defensive organization at home should prevent an easy victory.

Recommended Bets

• Hajduk Split Draw No Bet
• Under 3.5 Goals
• Hajduk Split to Score Over 1.5 Goals
• Both Teams to Score – No

Predicted Score

Varazdin 0-2 Hajduk Split ✅

Hajduk’s quality in attack and stronger defensive stability should help them begin the HNL season with three points. Varazdin can make the match difficult, but the visitors are expected to have enough experience and talent to secure the win. 🏆📈