Vitesse – Utrecht Predictions
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Vitesse 0-2 Utrecht
Date: 28.05.2019 | Match at: 19:45 | League: Netherlands – Europa League | Tip: Over 2.5 Goals | Odds: 1.57 | Bookie: Bwin
|Fortunately for Vitesse, it remains all square after a 1-1 first leg away result that saw both teams score before half-time. Each of Vitesse’s last six play-off matches, and five of Utrecht’s last six saw both teams score, including both legs of an identical final last season – Vitesse won their home leg 3-2 last year (5-3 agg).
|The hosts should feel confident of winning a second successive play-off final if their home form during the regular season can continue. Despite being behind at half-time in almost a quarter of their home matches (23.53%), Vitesse lost just once here all season, and that was to champions Ajax, no less.
|Curiously, Vitesse coach Leonid Slutsky is unbeaten in three H2Hs with Utrecht (W1, D2), although he is winless in nine of his ten prior meetings with visiting boss Dick Advocaat (W1, D5, L4). Seven of their ten touchline meetings featured under 2.5 total goals, including three of the last four.
|Utrecht ended their regular season campaign with three consecutive away defeats and are prone to a late collapse, with the highest percentage of their conceded away goals coming after the 75th minute (31.43% – regular season).
|Players to watch: Vitesse’s Tim Matavž has scored in back-to-back games for the first time since his long-term injury – all three goals across those matches arrived before half-time.
|Unable to affect the game last time out, Utrecht’s Simon Gustafson scored a penalty in both legs of their play-off semi-final.
|Stat attack: Nine of Vitesse’s last ten home matches produced over 3.5 total goals, each of their last 14 saw both teams score.
|Utrecht scored an equaliser just three times after going behind 11 times in their Eredivisie road trips this season.
|Utrecht conceded 35 of the 51 Eredivisie goals they let in away from home (68.63%), more than all but Heracles in the top eight.
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